Written For The Australian - Labor’s offer to subside a battery for rooftop solar is appealing but do the numbers stack up?
Only 3 per cent of Australian households with rooftop solar have taken the next step and installed a home battery. Labor wants to change that with a 30 per cent upfront rebate, saving between $3000 and $4500 on the typical $10,000 to $15,000 system. But does the maths actually work?
I crunched the numbers to find out. Stack the proposed federal rebate on top of existing state schemes — like Tasmania's $10,000 interest-free loan or WA's $7500 Horizon Power rebate — and the net cost of a 13.5kWh battery could halve to around $7500.
For the average household spending $2500 a year on electricity, a battery reducing grid reliance by 50 per cent should save $1000 to $1500 annually. That's a payback period of five to seven years, comfortably inside a typical 10-year manufacturer warranty and well under the 15-year expected lifespan.
Here's where it gets interesting. Over 10 years, the net saving lands between $5000 and $10,000. But that upfront $7500 has an opportunity cost — either forgone investment returns (around $6000 if it could have earned 6 per cent after tax in an ETF) or borrowing costs of about $4500 at 5 per cent interest.
So after all that, the true financial benefit is real but modest. It's positive — just not the windfall some might expect from the political spin.
My take? Even with the sweetener, this remains a lifestyle and environmental decision as much as a financial one. Tasmania-based EV enthusiast Christopher Walkden, who built his own 20kWh system for $13,000, told me he did it for the challenge rather than the returns — and his advice rings true: don't rely solely on numbers from the installer trying to sell you the system. Get multiple quotes, understand the tech, and run your own calculations before signing anything.

